Hah! I knew there were 4 promises!
I dunno, I'm a pretty wishy-washy guy on whether it should be an AC30 type of thing or a DG50, I will admit.
Speaking of being a distortion nerd, there are some real tube amps whose distortion I love, and some I don't. And some tubes break up nicely, others have a very harsh edge to them. For me, this is especially the case with 6L6 tubes. I find it hard to find a good sounding big-bottle 6L6 that isn't NOS.
Anyway, it's not just about modeling vs tubes. I'd much rather use a good sounding modeler than a real tube amp with tubes that don't make the amp sound its best.